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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what is happening to the eastern seaboard. it's gone farther west on the hurricane and inflicted blizzard. but politically, is this something that is to the advantage of the president. can they actually move a point or two? >> i think first, it froze the race. there has not been a lot of movement. the media has been focused on sandy and less on the presidential campaign. second of all, think it's going to affect, it can affect turnout but most places like new jersey and new york. i'm not sure it's going to have an effect. on the other hand t
most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what...
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this is a bad sign for president obama, and we see it reflected in the polls as well. if you take a look, allup says 15 percent of the people had ved early. they were breaking for romney by 52-46. this week to reports 19 peent of those surveyed said they had voted. a break for romney y 50-43. obama won the early vote last time around, according to puke, by 19 points or was winning at this point by 19 points and now he's losing it by seven. that is more than enough to flip the election lou: two thin, if we can go back to your bard, immediately apparent command one is that there is a 5-4 margin if i read correctly, democrats over republicans in the early vote in 2008 that ratio was over two times -- two tmes. >> almost two to one. and we are talking here about less than a 5-4 margin. we are talking about 98,00 difference on the base, and this number will continue to grow. there will be probably, the republicans are probably going to narrow that gap between the two to somewhere around 85 or 90,000 votes. and i repeat, on election day is a starkly that republicans have car
this is a bad sign for president obama, and we see it reflected in the polls as well. if you take a look, allup says 15 percent of the people had ved early. they were breaking for romney by 52-46. this week to reports 19 peent of those surveyed said they had voted. a break for romney y 50-43. obama won the early vote last time around, according to puke, by 19 points or was winning at this point by 19 points and now he's losing it by seven. that is more than enough to flip the election lou: two...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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it showed barack obama as a commander in chief. the gallup poll was knocked off. it was his best poll. it showed the two competing businesses. not only did you have chris christie out there, but you also have bob mcdonnell of west virginia, another republican surrogate, who said the obama administration's response has been incredibly fast. >> i wouldn't go that far. they came in separately and they left separately. but sometimes governors have to do what governors do and presidents have to do what presidents do. i get that. and i think for the moment, your man probably got some. john, i want to ask you, i've been reading in the newspapers -- you correct me if i'm wrong. your superpack and other republican super packs have put $4 million into pennsylvania. team obama, only $625,000. for $4 million, jonathan, you want a rate of return better than a utility executive. you want to actually win the race in that state. >> we wouldn't be spending the money if we didn't think that there were real opportunities in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota, as well as wisconsin
it showed barack obama as a commander in chief. the gallup poll was knocked off. it was his best poll. it showed the two competing businesses. not only did you have chris christie out there, but you also have bob mcdonnell of west virginia, another republican surrogate, who said the obama administration's response has been incredibly fast. >> i wouldn't go that far. they came in separately and they left separately. but sometimes governors have to do what governors do and presidents have...
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the polls show that romney is narrowing the gap with obama in that state. can he realistically hope to take the state this late in the game? >> reporter: no doubt about it. 90 minutes from me at the airport you'll have paul ryan, the republican running mate holding a rally. yeah, tomorrow mitt romney is going to be in suburban philadelphia. that's the swing part of the state, the part of the state that really determines who wins pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes. the obama campaign is not taking this sitting down. jill biden is coming to pennsylvania to campaign today. and one of the big guns on the obama side, the former president clinton will be campaigning here in pennsylvania on monday. fred, i got here last night. i turned on the tv watching the local news. a lot of campaign ads. you know what? in the final nine days of this campaign in pennsylvania, $10 million worth of ads. most of them from the romney campaign and its allies. they're outspending the obama campaign 2 to 1. fred, nobody, no republican has won pennsylvania since 1988 in a presidential
the polls show that romney is narrowing the gap with obama in that state. can he realistically hope to take the state this late in the game? >> reporter: no doubt about it. 90 minutes from me at the airport you'll have paul ryan, the republican running mate holding a rally. yeah, tomorrow mitt romney is going to be in suburban philadelphia. that's the swing part of the state, the part of the state that really determines who wins pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes. the obama campaign is not...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can again. >> so things breaking there more for the incumbent than the challenger. overall, what charles is saying is right. generally things break for the channeler. the income intent a known quantity. but not that it completely breaks for the incumbent. so many battleground obama maintains small lead, but maintaining it. but the fear is that romney momentum would carry him to lead in those states. >> bret: steve? >> the ultimate cliche
that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one....
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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. >> a national poll showing romney's national favorability at 53%, just shy of obama at 54%, there used to be a much greater gap there, are we saying that turn decideds are certainly playing a role in a big way here? >> yes, i think that usually, in most polling experts, most of the political experts who have studied this over the years, if you're undecided at this late stage, you have a tendency numb necessarily huge numbers, but in bigger numbers for the challanger as opposed to the incumbent. you've known the incumbent for four years, you've gotten used to it, you know what to expect. the challenger, if you're still undecided, there's a tendency to break for the challenger. >> do we think this election really will be this close? >> yes, i think it will be this close. i'm going to be anchoring our coverage, as you know, tuesday night, so i'm getting ready for a long night. four years ago at 11:00 p.m. on the east coast when the polls closed on the west coast, california, oregon, washington state, hawaii, we projected a winner of 270-plus electoral college votes for barack obama. i don
. >> a national poll showing romney's national favorability at 53%, just shy of obama at 54%, there used to be a much greater gap there, are we saying that turn decideds are certainly playing a role in a big way here? >> yes, i think that usually, in most polling experts, most of the political experts who have studied this over the years, if you're undecided at this late stage, you have a tendency numb necessarily huge numbers, but in bigger numbers for the challanger as opposed to...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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the latest poll showing governor romney closing the gap. he is is now tied with president obama be. each of them with 49% of wisconsin's likely voters. the national polls painting an even grimmer picture for the president. this poll showing governor romney ahead by three. the governor with 50% of the vote and president obama with 47%. dick morris joins us. good evening, dick. >> good. i heard a great joke yesterday. if obama is reelected imagine the mess he will inherit. >> okay. i'm sure that the obama campaign will like that but the romney cam -- won't like that but the romney camp will enjoy that a bit. looking at the polls tonight, wisconsin in four years ago, president obama stormed the state by 14 points. this does seem to be a seismic shift in the state. >> there is. wisconsin has become a republican state by virtue of the incredibly intense organizational efforts there of governor scott walker's people, americans for prosperity and various other political groups that have really mobilized the free market forces in the state. they have been through a recall election. a senate
the latest poll showing governor romney closing the gap. he is is now tied with president obama be. each of them with 49% of wisconsin's likely voters. the national polls painting an even grimmer picture for the president. this poll showing governor romney ahead by three. the governor with 50% of the vote and president obama with 47%. dick morris joins us. good evening, dick. >> good. i heard a great joke yesterday. if obama is reelected imagine the mess he will inherit. >> okay....
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obama at 46% shows he is slipping into underdog status as we spak. gerri: the me show you another, as long as you're talking polls, we have one, the national average. and obama is at 47%. i did he'd. gretchen, you know, here is what i don't understand. i thought that people made up their mind as the campaign progressed, but it seems that most people, like you, who are expert watchers of this campaign say lots of people change their mind right up to voting day. >> to we had seen that in the past. we have had some people who did not even make up their minds until election day. i think this eltion, you have seen a lot of people make up their minds early this election will come down to the few people who make up their minds over the course of the past weekend coming into the next few days. president obama has done with this hurricane is acted presidential, taking care of business. people don't look at one event but past history and the past four years. he has not always displayed that same type. he is not even saving as from the fiscal cliff reroute the
obama at 46% shows he is slipping into underdog status as we spak. gerri: the me show you another, as long as you're talking polls, we have one, the national average. and obama is at 47%. i did he'd. gretchen, you know, here is what i don't understand. i thought that people made up their mind as the campaign progressed, but it seems that most people, like you, who are expert watchers of this campaign say lots of people change their mind right up to voting day. >> to we had seen that in...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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young people, trying to rally to get to polls on tuesday are at 16%. people forget the government only factors people looking for work in the last four weeks. i doesn't factor all of the people who stopped looking for work or people with experience and degrees who are in fast food restaurants right now. in addition to the part-time work. so i would have a hard time with the president coming out, saying that this is great and we're where we need to be. >> dana: go ahead, bob. >> bob: i was going to say that the people not looking for work, said for the first time it's now changed course and more people are entering the workforce looking for work. that is not accurate. >> dana: unable to find full-time jobs. >> eric: you are quoting a stat that really bad for president obama. around 4 million people over the last four years have left the workforce. >> dana: not only that, let me tell you, which this is where i am today -- misery up to 80%. economic misery up to 80%. if you are president obama one thing we talked about is what would you do in the next fou
young people, trying to rally to get to polls on tuesday are at 16%. people forget the government only factors people looking for work in the last four weeks. i doesn't factor all of the people who stopped looking for work or people with experience and degrees who are in fast food restaurants right now. in addition to the part-time work. so i would have a hard time with the president coming out, saying that this is great and we're where we need to be. >> dana: go ahead, bob. >> bob:...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg has been thinking about for some time and it is coming as the president finished the bromance tour with chris christie. it is a good week for the president. >> when you read the mayor's reasons, what was he waiting for. there wasn't a single thing that he was in line for? >> it seems to me that he is someone who has a large conception on his role on american national affairs and an early endorsement would not preserve that. the mayor's people say there is off the recoorecord reporters ae time. if you look at the economists the center right conservative publication, what you see is that the presiden
in new hampshire president obama polled at 49%, mitt romney at 47% and detroit press poll and cnn poll showed in colorado president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. tonight president obama has an 81% chance of winning re-election. alex cwagner, so mike bloomberg somehow finally made up his mind. everyone is focused on the climate change. in that article he mentions the pez's position on abortion and the health care law. so this isn't just this week. this is something that mayor bloomberg...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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exit polls showing there, obama is in favor with those early voters. ohioans have cast more than a million ballots and we're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early november, it's going to transform a presidential election. that's what we've seen. every day is now election day. >> with some states continuing early voting really right up to election day, we'll learn which party benefited. however, both president obama and governor romney say that they have the advantage with early voters. so both of them continue to encourage their base to get out and vote early. gregg, back to you. >> gregg: elizabeth, thanks very much. stick with fox news on election night. complete coverage beginning here on the fox news channel at 6:00 p.m. tuesday
exit polls showing there, obama is in favor with those early voters. ohioans have cast more than a million ballots and we're seeing in virginia, nevada and ohio, hundreds of thousands of ballots tasked and obviously in nevada, more than 50% of the electorate has already voted early. experts say that early voting has really changed the face of elections. listen. >> when you have 35 to 40% of the entire electorate voting early, some of them voting in september, much less october, early...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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to the polls and people out there camp to the polls and president obama has a lead going into the early vote. and absentee, is strong enough, because the republicans believe they'll win in the election day voting. >> peter doocy is live in fairfax, virginia where national polls are showing the race between governor mitt romney and president obama is a statistical dead heat. peter? >> that's right, uma, here in fairfax county today, virginia's largest locality. 1.1 million people live here and barack obama won this county by 109,000 votes in 2008. helping him win the state of virginia, we've seen a steady stream of people walking from the parking lot into the polls, today is the last day in virginia and you can vote absentee in person and since every vote is important in virginia in 2012, asking them what it is that's driving their vote. >> and i'm going to school, not around here, so i had to come back for it. and the most important issue would probably be for me, the military and the economy. and what's going to happen with it. >> i think it's really important that we have a president
to the polls and people out there camp to the polls and president obama has a lead going into the early vote. and absentee, is strong enough, because the republicans believe they'll win in the election day voting. >> peter doocy is live in fairfax, virginia where national polls are showing the race between governor mitt romney and president obama is a statistical dead heat. peter? >> that's right, uma, here in fairfax county today, virginia's largest locality. 1.1 million people...
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Nov 2, 2012
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rec" >> greta: the candidates make egg mad dash for the swing state, polls showing president obama with a razor-thing thin lead. but good news for governor romney. joining me is our panel. first, rick, the good news for the governor is with independents? >> independents. you look throughout the polls, dismacial state-level poll, governor romney is winning independent, sometimes by a lot. this is interesting for a couple of reasons, president obama won independents widely four years ago. john kerry won among independents 8 years ago in the battleground states. so this is a big reversal. can the president lose independents that badly and still win? there is a good chance that the independents look different. a lot of them are probably republicans, calling themselves independents because they are disaffected with the party and they are tea partyers. but it is a major shift to see independents, people who call themselves independents not going for president obama. you ask the romney folks and they say, this is a sign of weakness. this says our guy is very much in the mix, despite the battle
rec" >> greta: the candidates make egg mad dash for the swing state, polls showing president obama with a razor-thing thin lead. but good news for governor romney. joining me is our panel. first, rick, the good news for the governor is with independents? >> independents. you look throughout the polls, dismacial state-level poll, governor romney is winning independent, sometimes by a lot. this is interesting for a couple of reasons, president obama won independents widely four...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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. >> a new cnn poll of likely voters in ohio shows president obama polling at 50% and mitt romney at 47%. the president made three stops in ohio today where he talked about mitt romney's lie that chrysler is moving american jobs to china. >> you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake. these are people's lives. companies like g.m. and chrysler, they put a lot of time and effort and money into building up their brand and letting americans know that the american auto industry is back. and we don't want suddenly a bunch of ads saying stuff that's not true. you don't scare hard working americans just to scare up some votes. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> president obama concluded his speech this way. >> and that's why i need you, ohio. to make sure that no matter who you are or what you look like or where you come from, what your last night is, where you started, no matter what, you can make it in america if you try. that's why i'm asking for your vote and if you're wi
. >> a new cnn poll of likely voters in ohio shows president obama polling at 50% and mitt romney at 47%. the president made three stops in ohio today where he talked about mitt romney's lie that chrysler is moving american jobs to china. >> you've got to own what you say. this isn't a game. these are people's jobs at stake. these are people's lives. companies like g.m. and chrysler, they put a lot of time and effort and money into building up their brand and letting americans know...
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that's what you're thinking. >> in the one poll it's 48%/489%. i wonder if journalists are putting too much faith in these polls because thee are small leagues. >> i like that the horse racing columnist, he picks a favorite, right? sometimes when grow to the track, do you that. back in 2000 we didn't have a place to go to aggregate all of the polls. now view have access to so much data, so much state-level data that you can sit there and go state by state and actually have a somewhat more informed opinion about what's going to happen in ohio. so i see reliance on polls by journalists as one of the good developments in our business. it's actually using some scientific social science methods to make predictions and most predictions that pundits make are not based on social science. >> the dangers are that it overtakes the coverage. i think that's dangerous so close to the election because everyone's asking the horse race collection. who's going win. what's he doing on the economy? those questions belonged to the debates and a lot earlier. it's all
that's what you're thinking. >> in the one poll it's 48%/489%. i wonder if journalists are putting too much faith in these polls because thee are small leagues. >> i like that the horse racing columnist, he picks a favorite, right? sometimes when grow to the track, do you that. back in 2000 we didn't have a place to go to aggregate all of the polls. now view have access to so much data, so much state-level data that you can sit there and go state by state and actually have a...
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Nov 1, 2012
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polls say the key swing state is simply too close to call. president obama won it last time. today governor romney is holding campaigns, campaign events across the state. we'll take and in depth look what is at stake for the state of virginia and what it means for the election. >>> you've seen these pictures, right? cars submerged in the floodwaters after sandy blew through? what happened to all the swamped cars? the impact it could have on the auto industry and we'll talk about the economy as well. that is up ahead. i'm only in my 60's... i've got a nice long life ahead. big plans. so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i looked at my options. then i got a medicare supplement insurance plan. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. call now and find out about an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all standardized medicare supplement plans, it helps pick up some of what medicare doesn't pa
polls say the key swing state is simply too close to call. president obama won it last time. today governor romney is holding campaigns, campaign events across the state. we'll take and in depth look what is at stake for the state of virginia and what it means for the election. >>> you've seen these pictures, right? cars submerged in the floodwaters after sandy blew through? what happened to all the swamped cars? the impact it could have on the auto industry and we'll talk about the...
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Nov 1, 2012
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this is the new fox news poll, national poll. 46 a piece. you saw 45-46. with a race that tight after the wake of hurricane sandy they will be back on the campaign trail. the president visiting nevada, colorado and wisconsin. mitt romney will be in virginia today after rallies yesterday in florida. he was pushing for early voters and storm release. >> a dollar extra send it to the red cross send it to those who are in harm's way. >> campaigns still fighting for independent voters. here is how the numbers stand in the fox news poll. >> they are still coming down on the romney side of the equation. we are seeing things tighten up a little bit. if you look at single issues this has been one constant through out the xin. economic issues still dominate. 44 percent about where it was back in september. the race may hinge on that. the obama campaign is hoping that images like we saw yesterday, the president acting as commander-in-chief touring that storm damage in new jersey will help boost his numbers. >> what i can promise you is that the federal government wil
this is the new fox news poll, national poll. 46 a piece. you saw 45-46. with a race that tight after the wake of hurricane sandy they will be back on the campaign trail. the president visiting nevada, colorado and wisconsin. mitt romney will be in virginia today after rallies yesterday in florida. he was pushing for early voters and storm release. >> a dollar extra send it to the red cross send it to those who are in harm's way. >> campaigns still fighting for independent voters....
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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the problem is, though, you still have the recent poll, a harvard poll has obama leading men romney by 90 percentage points in that age demographic and 18-29. these are your classic case obama's zombies. barack obama, is campaigning in his actual policies are going to make it a lot harder for young people to find jobs and pay up this enormous debt and is sitting on our doorstep. yet there will still cast a vote by and large for barack obama in today's. gerri: you look at the way he campaigns. here is money for you, money for you, student loans, free birth control demand for you, i'm going to give you, you know -- >> foods stamps or immigration documents. >> had is that sense to you. >> i think it sound awful. i personally would not be sucked into voting for him just because of that. i think the point is that young people aren't enthsiastic about in. what matters is turnout. and i think romney does not have to when the end people, all of the and people. all he haso do is reduce the margin by which obama won them in 2008 which will be that bg of a problem because of the fact that people
the problem is, though, you still have the recent poll, a harvard poll has obama leading men romney by 90 percentage points in that age demographic and 18-29. these are your classic case obama's zombies. barack obama, is campaigning in his actual policies are going to make it a lot harder for young people to find jobs and pay up this enormous debt and is sitting on our doorstep. yet there will still cast a vote by and large for barack obama in today's. gerri: you look at the way he campaigns....